insufficient panic

Insufficient Panic
By David Verveer
The latest panic message published by the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (I.P.C.C) on the second of April 2007 in Brussels did not have the intended impact on the average Israeli, who was preparing himself to a full week of feasting, in Israel itself, or abroad. The warning that the world is coming to its end, if the temperatures continue to rise, the Polar caps continue to melt, the polar bears and some African tribes will disappear, due to temperature change, droughts and tropical diseases, and who knows what other disasters these scientists prophesized, did not seem a serious problem, even the visit from the brave Greenish warriors of “Green peace” advocating us to cease our nuclear development, was totally ignored by the public, who were more interested in the declining exchange rate of the dollar, and if our Finance minister will manage to cling to his seat, with all those accusations of foul play.
Our general disinterest in the fate of those unfortunate polar bears or future sea levels generated by increased carbon dioxide production is based on getting tired from the continues doomsday prophecies claiming that our trials of enjoying life, will be punished (perhaps not immediately, but in the next hundred years).
However it appears that the distinguished above mentioned “I.P.C.C.” report is totally based on an huge international hoax, planned and executed by a new kind of religious group, which we will call for the time being “Greenism”, of which All Gore (the former vice president of the USA) is one of their leading prophets.
“Currently the “Greens” devote much of their energy to the creation of false problems, nonexistent crises which can be solved only by draconian, astronomically expensive means. “Global warming” is their most grandiose hoax so far, and their solution is a virtual shutdown of industry in the developed world” (by Jigs Gardner in an article named “Understanding Greenism”). The “Greens” blame that “global Warming is caused by increase of carbon dioxide gases, which is absolutely untrue, as the carbon dioxide greenhouse gas effect is consistent over the last 420 million years (see report in Nature by Geologists Robert Berner, Jeffrey Park and Dana I Royer, professors at Yale and Wesleyan Universities).
Concern over “Global Warming” is a scam, backing up our claim, the following 6 reasons: (copied from an article by Joseph L. Bast from the Heartland Institute)
1 – Most scientists do not believe human activities threaten to disrupt the Earth’s climate. More than 17,000 scientists signed a petition circulated by the “Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine” saying that there is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane or other greenhouse gases is causing or will in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth’s atmosphere and disruption of the Earth’s climate (see www.oism.org).
2 – Our most reliable sources of temperature data shows no global warming trend. Satellite readings of temperatures in the lower troposphere show no warming since the readings began 23 years ago (these readings are accurate to within 0.01⁰C, and are consistent with the weather balloons).
3 – Global climate computers are too crude to predict future climate changes, as the entire process of predictions are based on computer models and not on historical data. The modelers resort to “flux adjustments and variables” which is according to Richard A. Kerr, Science writer, “cheating”.
4 – The “I.P.C.C” did not prove that human activities are causing global warming, quoting the report “Climate change 2001, predicting the future climate: the earth’s atmosphere-ocean dynamics is chaotic, its evolution is sensitive to small perturbations in initial conditions. This sensitivity limits our ability to predict the detailed evolution of the weather, inevitable errors and uncertainties in the starting conditions of a weather forecast amplify through the forecast. As well as uncertainty in initial conditions, such predictions are also degraded by errors and uncertainties in our ability to represent accurately the significant climate processes.
5 – A modest amount of global warming, should it occur, would be beneficial to the natural world and to human civilization, as has been proved in warming earth periods in the recent and far past (“Medieval warm period” – 800 to 1200 AD and “Climatic Optimum”- which took place from about 500 to 3000 BC).
6 – Efforts to quickly reduce human greenhouse gas emissions would be costly and would not stop Earth’s climate from changing. Full implication of the Kyoto protocol by all participating nations would reduce (if greenhouse is really the culprit) the global temperature in the year 2100 by a mere 0.14 degrees Celsius.
In reality, good that the polar bears are incapable in reading, as their numbers are increasing rather than diminishing (Mitch Taylor, Canadian expert on animal populations, estimates that the number of polar bears in Canada has increased from 12,000 to 15,000), and survived former warm climate periods.
Further more a study published in Science showed that the East-Antarctic ice sheet has grown with 45 million metric tones between 1992 and 2003.
Melting of glaziers and icebergs seems to have no effect on sea levels anywhere.
Our own Astrophysicist Nir Shaviv, previous convinced that the carbon dioxide is the culprit has recanted: “like many others, I was personally sure that CO2 is the bad culprit in the story of global warming. But after carefully digging into the evidence, I realized that things are far more complicated than the story sold to us by many climate scientists or the stories regurgitated by the media”.
Dr. Shaviv’s digging led him to the surprising discovery that there is no concrete evidence – only speculation – that man made greenhouse gases cause global warming.
Solar activity can however explain a large part of the twentieth century global warming, particularly because of the evidence that has been accumulating over the past decade of the strong relationship that cosmic-ray flux has on our atmosphere. So much evidence of solar activity influencing the climate, has by now amassed, to indicate that greenhouse gases can not have much influence on the climate.
But if the “Global Warming” is really a scam, we have to investigate the real target for promoting this worldwide scam? What is the reasons for this promotion of worst-case scenarios and doomsday theories by leading organizations and important people. I don’t have a serious answer to this question, I indeed believe that most of the followers of the “Greenism” ideology are people with good intentions trying to make our world a better place, and as they are no experts on climatologic science, they believe, just as in other religions, what their church leaders are saying.
Governmental officials (administrators) are no experts either, and jumped on the bandwagon, in order to support the obvious “good people” fraction, specially if they work for the Ministry of Environment, as this gives them more power. Providing permits for industries, limiting their so-called pollution levels of carbon-dioxide and other greenhouse gases.
Who are the bad guys in my opinion, they are those mediocre scientists, who are ignoring the truth, in order to rise with the movement, and who will jump the band-wagon when finally our world will come back to its senses and utilizes correctly the available data to prevent real harm to our over populated earth.
Mr. Gore, the noble prize winner, is in reality a clever politician, who tries to gain the presidency as leader of the popular “greenism” religion, I wonder what will happen to him, when the scam will be exposed.
David Verveer is an Agricultural and Environmental Consulting Engineer